Polymarket

[ { "id": "16183", "ticker": "kraken-ipo-in-2025", "slug": "kraken-ipo-in-2025", "title": "Kraken IPO by ___ ?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2024-12-31T19:05:45.901363Z", "creationDate": "2024-12-31T19:05:45.901361Z", "endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 3385.6679, "volume": 1579808.8670900017, "openInterest": 49725.38535900001, "createdAt": "2024-12-31T18:18:36.692417Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.9794079478954972, "volume24hr": 2560.040154, "volume1wk": 27661.373644, "volume1mo": 137636.08606199993, "volume1yr": 1031538.3841309994, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 3385.6679, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 43, "markets": [ { "id": "516950", "question": "Kraken IPO in 2025?", "conditionId": "0x5b70123b2c37355840b38bc60752919dae7ca5fe11d5e5184aa69be01b9db458", "slug": "kraken-ipo-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2024-12-31T19:05:03.54Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "494516.53254", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2024-12-31T18:18:37.683247Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T11:03:47.827628Z", "closedTime": "2026-01-01 07:30:39+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0x90c45939ee51f61d0c19d912e982aedc20a881ac43fda288f9141b33dbfac481", "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T07:30:39Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 494516.53254, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2024-12-31", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 19421.907, "volume1mo": 123153.58619699992, "volume1yr": 491884.9743919996, "clobTokenIds": "[\"106229668102716149832209250222340847662201251266419359322746795373714233470739\", \"33007765079325382103458898680383691503895532108499178620460955049586020382226\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 19421.907, "volume1moClob": 123153.58619699992, "volume1yrClob": 491884.9743919996, "volumeClob": 494516.53254, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2024-12-31T19:03:56Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.002, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.028, "oneYearPriceChange": -0.6345, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.002, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "finance_prices_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "678876", "question": "Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x9b3c3177fe473124c756b01e123b4b03e3a99880844ed8dea21b0a7879ca04aa", "slug": "kraken-ipo-by-march-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-04-01T04:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-11-12T19:19:58.313791Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "545638.9248109999", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-12T19:15:58.849459Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T11:03:47.827628Z", "closedTime": "2026-04-01 08:25:09+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "March 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "1", "questionID": "0x47fcdd597ecb28eedd232bd26886b902f9a49b77d563c028867032905f7974f5", "umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T08:25:09Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 545638.9248109999, "endDateIso": "2026-04-01", "startDateIso": "2025-11-12", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"33799186820745984796925628555218896548353763534512103584425851114581900224385\", \"103693433518125527001416636574099415821922498558487623412396163292963814003978\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 545638.9248109999, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-12T19:19:37Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 20, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.085, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-12T19:19:08.394939Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "finance_prices_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "691547", "question": "Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xced0cb8725bad43d78fda0cd0e5fa9e31804625cb3502b2c7897f8e8f7fa9e1f", "slug": "kraken-ipo-by-december-31-2026-513", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z", "liquidity": "3413.6389", "startDate": "2025-11-19T15:49:34.522Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]", "volume": "539653.4097390018", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-19T15:48:14.624315Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:39.61797Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0xb6cc06fbb46f67a90062d501b29778c2bf41b0fac19a8647039ba21e884d7f1e", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 539653.4097390018, "liquidityNum": 3413.6389, "endDateIso": "2027-01-01", "startDateIso": "2025-11-19", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 2560.040154, "volume1wk": 8239.466643999998, "volume1mo": 14482.499864999998, "volume1yr": 539653.4097389999, "clobTokenIds": "[\"34626184950254225208692030156208941308358060420950772251072421141618169142241\", \"28557614648090529004584076028720900603196666949274543515794672175624115225556\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 2560.040154, "volume1wkClob": 8239.466643999998, "volume1moClob": 14482.499864999998, "volume1yrClob": 539653.4097389999, "volumeClob": 539653.4097390018, "liquidityClob": 3413.6389, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-19T15:49:13Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9794079478954972, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.11, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.07, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.085, "lastTradePrice": 0.3, "bestBid": 0.3, "bestAsk": 0.41, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-19T15:48:43.974869Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "finance_prices_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "1642124", "question": "Kraken IPO by June 30, 2026?", "conditionId": "", "slug": "kraken-ipo-by-june-30-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T04:00:00Z", "liquidity": "0", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-kraken-ipo-in-2024--_GT-GzKWtUW.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kraken completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "volume": "0", "active": false, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-03-18T19:12:05.506588Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-10T17:14:46.436888Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "", "archived": false, "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "June 30", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 0, "liquidityNum": 0, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 0, "volume1wk": 0, "volume1mo": 0, "volume1yr": 0, "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrAmm": 0, "volume1wkAmm": 0, "volume1moAmm": 0, "volume1yrAmm": 0, "volume24hrClob": 0, "volume1wkClob": 0, "volume1moClob": 0, "volume1yrClob": 0, "volumeAmm": 0, "volumeClob": 0, "liquidityAmm": 0, "liquidityClob": 0, "customLiveness": 0, "negRisk": false, "ready": false, "funded": false, "cyom": false, "competitive": 0, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 1, "oneDayPriceChange": 0, "oneHourPriceChange": 0, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0, "oneYearPriceChange": 0, "lastTradePrice": 0, "bestBid": 0, "bestAsk": 1, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null } ], "tags": [ { "id": "101300", "label": "exchange", "slug": "exchange", "createdAt": "2024-11-21T17:09:30.941319Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:11:05.93931Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "1401", "label": "Tech", "slug": "tech", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00", "createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.21105Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "21", "label": "Crypto", "slug": "crypto", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00", "updatedBy": 15, "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z", "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "120", "label": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:17:43.066649Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "107", "label": "Business", "slug": "business", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:20:37.48+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:20:37.488Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:26:28.786983Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101588", "label": "2025 Predictions", "slug": "2025-predictions", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2024-12-30T20:11:13.144816Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:30:55.933838Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "102137", "label": "Featured", "slug": "featured", "forceShow": true, "createdAt": "2025-05-16T09:58:40.682219Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:26:28.761286Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "600", "label": "IPOs", "slug": "ipos", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-30 16:53:29.136+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-30T16:53:29.141Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:24:27.888545Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "105297", "label": "Crypto Listings", "slug": "crypto-listings", "createdAt": "2026-06-09T20:34:36.11836Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-09T20:35:01.983304Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "estimateValue": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_requires_regen": true } }, { "id": "16263", "ticker": "macron-out-in-2025", "slug": "macron-out-in-2025", "title": "Macron out by...?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-01-03T19:35:04.095066Z", "creationDate": "2025-01-03T19:35:04.095064Z", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/macron-out-in-2025-qFUc7czZE3Ev.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/macron-out-in-2025-qFUc7czZE3Ev.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 23605.16919, "volume": 2033750.2202770005, "openInterest": 92125.309937, "createdAt": "2025-01-03T19:28:39.855536Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.8025579125789717, "volume24hr": 1710.87, "volume1wk": 55751.446317999995, "volume1mo": 467859.9562920002, "volume1yr": 2033752.589527002, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 23605.16919, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 91, "markets": [ { "id": "517231", "question": "Macron out in 2025?", "conditionId": "0x6301809524e73edb9ab1bd180101ae6d9588ba78075a64c479f334a6d2a12975", "slug": "macron-out-in-2025-834", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-01-03T19:33:19.059Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/macron+tight+lip.png", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). 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He has repeatedly rejected resignation calls and focused on budget negotiations, foreign policy engagements including G7 and bilateral summits, and preparations for the 2027 presidential transition he is constitutionally barred from contesting. No acute domestic crisis, health event, or successful no-confidence motion has emerged in recent months to alter this trajectory. Trader consensus assigns negligible probability to an early exit before the June 30, 2026 resolution date, consistent with historical patterns of French presidents completing terms absent extraordinary triggers. Upcoming international commitments and ongoing legislative maneuvering remain the primary variables to monitor.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:31:20.904Z" } }, { "id": "16423", "ticker": "uk-election-called-by", "slug": "uk-election-called-by", "title": "UK election called by...?", "description": "This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-01-06T13:23:37.947481Z", "creationDate": "2025-01-06T13:23:37.947478Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 6806.11213, "volume": 787126.165237, "openInterest": 13735.327884, "createdAt": "2025-01-06T13:06:31.446876Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.8852691218130312, "volume24hr": 66.38, "volume1wk": 8993.444578, "volume1mo": 54527.040889, "volume1yr": 208743.239722, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 6806.11213, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 14, "markets": [ { "id": "517548", "question": "Will the next UK election be called by March 31?", "conditionId": "0x6c3493304224c9c89a846a14c67a0510deb1cc5aa69159973f06940d5c6a4fa9", "slug": "will-the-next-uk-election-be-called-by-march-31", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-03-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-01-06T13:22:48.474019Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/uk-election-called-by-YBeFE9xxrUNy.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]", "volume": "951.89905", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-25T15:34:30.060986Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:18.258951Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "4", "questionID": "0x72715bc1451a2d462f5b576ec8e76ba67b2e222b75caf0867a4eb860315d44ec", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 951.89905, "liquidityNum": 1962.8558, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2026-05-25", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"31627048520492227354616069874124458767757243686332730237616510640600462926383\", \"37064221817179838225957455025143891294172126736355626367799841115771049178138\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 951.89905, "liquidityClob": 1962.8558, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-25T15:35:52Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8852691218130312, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.04, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.04, "lastTradePrice": 0.11, "bestBid": 0.12, "bestAsk": 0.16, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-25T15:34:46.348865Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } } ], "tags": [ { "id": "101319", "label": "Starmer", "slug": "starmer", "createdAt": "2024-11-25T18:49:24.982919Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:32:49.912398Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "734", "label": "UK", "slug": "uk", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-12-13 20:16:30.79+00", "createdAt": "2023-12-13T20:16:30.802Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-24T16:00:06.360895Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100606", "label": "pedophile", "slug": "pedophile", "createdAt": "2024-09-20T13:53:50.802346Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:41:35.16048Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100228", "label": "England", "slug": "england", "createdAt": "2024-05-23T20:07:04.412778Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:32:49.920368Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds full discretion under current rules to dissolve Parliament and call a UK general election at a time of his choosing, with the latest possible date falling in mid-August 2029. Trader attention centers on Labour\u2019s weakening position after disappointing results in the May 2026 local elections, ongoing economic pressures, and rising support for Reform UK in recent polling. These factors raise the chance of an earlier contest if Starmer seeks to reset his mandate before opposition momentum grows further. No immediate dissolution signals have emerged as of mid-June 2026, keeping focus on whether internal Labour dynamics or shifting voter sentiment will prompt a surprise announcement ahead of the fixed five-year limit.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:31:43.618Z" } }, { "id": "17526", "ticker": "china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31", "slug": "china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31", "title": "China x India military clash by...?", "description": "This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-01-30T21:29:15.866418Z", "creationDate": "2025-01-30T21:29:15.866415Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 9988.4047, "volume": 298856.7944059997, "openInterest": 13038.20123, "createdAt": "2025-01-30T19:15:09.756401Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.8620689655172414, "volume24hr": 984.5084479999998, "volume1wk": 15980.907002, "volume1mo": 83984.285906, "volume1yr": 298856.7944059994, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 9988.4047, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 13, "markets": [ { "id": "521029", "question": "China x India military clash by December 31?", "conditionId": "0x689a77ca28cf59efae262fd37d07aa787194d52b13bbe009a223de15bf5c62af", "slug": "china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-01-30T21:29:11.808Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.\n\nNon-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however the Indian Coast Guard (ICG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "73185.754279", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-01-30T19:15:12.055523Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T23:31:07.159334Z", "closedTime": "2026-01-01 09:34:37+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31", "groupItemThreshold": "1", "questionID": "0x21a57e5bd440a2fa423cdaeffd795ec4dc3a6a7ed297f9fc630f59fcbabfd1fd", "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T09:34:37Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 73185.754279, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-01-30", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 1986.7765, "volume1mo": 8221.565354, "volume1yr": 73185.75427899958, "gameStartTime": "2025-09-10 02:17:00+00", "clobTokenIds": "[\"62499647704758013801224496519154801919449219197687180369505612744147504118777\", \"89667254973027475163940771416019167537897714895546880163448338769528535684137\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 1986.7765, "volume1moClob": 8221.565354, "volume1yrClob": 73185.75427899958, "volumeClob": 73185.754279, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-01-30T21:28:00Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 100, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0215, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "521028", "question": "China x India military clash by June 30?", "conditionId": "0x69eecc28e594a1c524ea95f095d6e86eb1bfd8a67277eda3010413e9edf68e03", "slug": "china-x-india-military-clash-by-june-30", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-01-30T21:29:01.73Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.\n\nNon-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however the Indian Coast Guard (ICG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "37693.17445", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-01-30T19:15:10.907371Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T23:31:07.162286Z", "closedTime": "2025-07-01 22:05:08.339341+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "June 30", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0xaaee7c59ddcc8acf258c7524aab4bb8737c76d3bd12e603d572ac881f7e79bbb", "umaEndDate": "2025-07-01 22:05:08.339341+00", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 37693.17445, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-01-30", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 11207.9985, "volume1mo": 14173.342340000005, "volume1yr": 37693.174450000006, "gameStartTime": "2025-09-10 02:17:00+00", "clobTokenIds": "[\"82814855654672504061247670166274349069234747344604118638495723199148512283270\", \"28181983066814192341972022528872656900287488784777109397388022150121214816984\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 11207.9985, "volume1moClob": 14173.342340000005, "volume1yrClob": 37693.174450000006, "volumeClob": 37693.17445, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-01-30T21:27:50Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 100, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0075, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0175, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "677404", "question": "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x6e6851f2698629795fa06869d961c986221a80cedcba10fbaf0ed220607cdada", "slug": "china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "9948.3647", "startDate": "2025-11-13T23:10:40.603235Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31-eggJM4CWN6Un.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and India between January 29, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.\n\nNon-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.\n\nNote: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however the Indian Coast Guard (ICG) is not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]", "volume": "187977.86567699973", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:49:28.471177Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:23.269185Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0xc2a372b6d397e93956701f3b0cf21da934e4678dbd6e80f18deb660792895bec", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 187977.86567699973, "liquidityNum": 9948.3647, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-11-13", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 984.5084479999998, "volume1wk": 2786.132002, "volume1mo": 61589.378212, "volume1yr": 187977.86567699985, "clobTokenIds": "[\"36135303630970774358991758965953725374791089628290212294816140371870983436829\", \"100818499003359884559774352671825765184103958625070066814408985574716007147193\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 984.5084479999998, "volume1wkClob": 2786.132002, "volume1moClob": 61589.378212, "volume1yrClob": 187977.86567699985, "volumeClob": 187977.86567699973, "liquidityClob": 9948.3647, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T23:10:18Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8620689655172414, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.02, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.075, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.025, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.025, "lastTradePrice": 0.09, "bestBid": 0.09, "bestAsk": 0.11, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T22:52:14.339969Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null } ], "tags": [ { "id": "518", "label": "India", "slug": "india", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-16 17:32:54.137+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-16T17:32:54.147Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:23:51.978133Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "303", "label": "China", "slug": "china", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:52:11.147+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:52:11.155Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.250426Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100265", "label": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "forceShow": true, "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101970", "label": "World", "slug": "world", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Recent diplomatic stabilization following the October 2024 border disengagement agreement along the Line of Actual Control has reduced immediate flashpoints, with resumed special representatives talks and limited confidence-building measures through 2025. Both sides maintain substantial forward deployments and continue infrastructure enhancements near disputed sectors in Ladakh and Arunachal Pradesh, sustaining underlying risks from differing territorial claims and patrolling practices. China\u2019s military support for Pakistan during the May 2025 India-Pakistan conflict highlighted alliance dynamics but produced no direct Sino-Indian confrontation. Trader sentiment reflects these managed tensions and the absence of major escalatory incidents since 2022, assigning low probability to a military encounter through December 2026 absent sudden triggers such as renewed standoffs or shifts in bilateral signaling.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:32:01.974Z" } }, { "id": "17549", "ticker": "natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025", "slug": "natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025", "title": "NATO\/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to \"Yes\" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-01-31T23:41:04.062553Z", "creationDate": "2025-01-31T23:41:04.062551Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 33666.31901, "volume": 316431.97613900015, "openInterest": 48258.297304, "createdAt": "2025-01-31T00:57:34.582889Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:17.464066Z", "competitive": 0.8067051720490372, "volume24hr": 297.125642, "volume1wk": 6535.449860000001, "volume1mo": 44846.262508, "volume1yr": 316436.9861389999, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 33666.31901, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 14, "markets": [ { "id": "521103", "question": "NATO\/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?", "conditionId": "0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50", "slug": "natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-01-31T23:40:06.781Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025-ed2fIguRcJLj.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.\n\nFor military personnel to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.8\", \"0.2\"]", "volume": "3126189.6690579867", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-05T17:03:07.862608Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:27.635606Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31", "groupItemThreshold": "12", "questionID": "0xd51121ce06c0cfd8eeec158846910e6826c66955db1876547cfb266afdcf1505", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 3126189.6690579867, "liquidityNum": 86374.9843, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-11-05", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 28820.29551499999, "volume1wk": 138627.98416199998, "volume1mo": 712534.9226350049, "volume1yr": 3126189.669057988, "clobTokenIds": "[\"42498579290170525937803365597001189493798686141769429176410526295573824619073\", \"88902058027062214140177978007942040532071439710160833384602336149457247354303\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 28820.29551499999, "volume1wkClob": 138627.98416199998, "volume1moClob": 712534.9226350049, "volume1yrClob": 3126189.669057988, "volumeClob": 3126189.6690579867, "liquidityClob": 86374.9843, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-05T17:09:15Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9174311926605505, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "277403", "conditionId": "0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 20, "startDate": "2026-04-29", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.02, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.025, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.045, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.065, "lastTradePrice": 0.8, "bestBid": 0.79, "bestAsk": 0.81, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-05T17:08:46.183121Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "1336699", "question": "Starmer out by February 28, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xb957e0c6ec337b15a9d93e1ba19a48b410fc1594f022e3bb734e958a4978cdaf", "slug": "starmer-out-by-february-28-2026-352-692", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-02-04T23:55:11.127Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "5862235.976712", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-02-04T23:52:25.071033Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T13:33:33.33929Z", "closedTime": "2026-03-01 07:16:03+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "February 28", "groupItemThreshold": "1", "questionID": "0xfc2a17cacdb074ab612020c2f5492cefe06fa8cdcc28efc2f1988ad0353e6c1a", "umaEndDate": "2026-03-01T07:16:03Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 5862235.976712, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2026-02-04", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 783802.3344809999, "volume1mo": 5862235.976711979, "volume1yr": 5862235.976711979, "clobTokenIds": "[\"74341056958547120660405490893413766202610642702385621904694146292080006615573\", \"31855172254398395022586050472162698729124802414870579979071243373446988334227\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 783802.3344809999, "volume1moClob": 5862235.976711979, "volume1yrClob": 5862235.976711979, "volumeClob": 5862235.976712, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-04T23:54:05Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.015, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-04T23:52:51.266605Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "1359701", "question": "Starmer out by March 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xb87df3ecfdb937e0d5bd495d7cc7e88062097616e0c59ce478e101eff5020eb7", "slug": "starmer-out-by-march-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-02-09T15:13:56.783481Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "878483.2840860012", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-02-09T15:10:02.188779Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T13:33:33.33929Z", "closedTime": "2026-04-01 07:50:21+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "March 31", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0x2eb595e64d85e3faa613770ea5ac97770987896785f78e2b929b7c721f5ea2eb", "umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T07:50:21Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 878483.2840860012, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2026-02-09", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"62953677644194459197528921097582674684091952387130610769389378006736023659766\", \"81064263614611322976599369791100684944137505919329565340390899607649071360756\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 878483.2840860012, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-09T15:12:51Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-09T15:11:36.860883Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "1500922", "question": "Starmer out by April 30, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xc6158282b574047044e504aabb1bc1f86ed28097e62d69425cb4403847767945", "slug": "starmer-out-by-april-30-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-03-04T19:14:30.887501Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "5036627.163993046", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-03-04T19:11:28.184942Z", "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T07:06:42.117405Z", "closedTime": "2026-05-01 07:02:50+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "April 30", "groupItemThreshold": "3", "questionID": "0xd4230673db7fba61105e8d6c870bd6ee5322c270775e08c858556fab9b37d0f0", "umaEndDate": "2026-05-01T07:02:50Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 5036627.163993046, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2026-03-04", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"65075454639388714811293775905500639483433054272204316386263594369997153544149\", \"58948512711893544240555324689070229590986753457645482227497942393146365205511\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 5036627.163993046, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-04T19:13:25Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 100, "rewardsMaxSpread": 2.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0445, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-04T19:12:09.93479Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "2002685", "question": "Starmer out by May 15, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x575e86314d77231f25c16834b4f501221f215399a79fa6f5760b0a1eb7f1e5d3", "slug": "starmer-out-by-may-15-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-04-17T00:14:48.033469Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "5725155.735899027", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-04-17T00:11:56.329679Z", "updatedAt": "2026-05-17T07:14:46.332841Z", "closedTime": "2026-05-16 07:16:44+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "May 15", "groupItemThreshold": "4", "questionID": "0xcd564f471dfa5466b324724c81e299cc200391ce090bdc26c0116bf8e047a7fb", "umaEndDate": "2026-05-16T07:16:44Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 5725155.735899027, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2026-04-17", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"7317570394658929543950187060522864400071290481021499158014297549243573640501\", \"47979415276102234612653681964571782104748282108436108552000129291113972469428\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 5725155.735899027, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-17T00:13:44Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.027, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-17T00:12:31.492144Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "2231205", "question": "Starmer out by May 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xe0b6f4d40f33f456caba50434db5ea8c5ca93e84eb912054a80ca0c58ad70dd7", "slug": "starmer-out-by-may-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-05-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-05-11T15:00:07.007Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. ", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "2106437.620742995", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-11T14:57:30.986732Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-02T03:35:50.38721Z", "closedTime": "2026-06-01 06:12:11+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "May 31", "groupItemThreshold": "6", "questionID": "0x7c5a58d1f800f148bf1ad25ac1d1b63a54519d814df51f2c44022fa652100497", "umaEndDate": "2026-06-01T06:12:11Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 2106437.620742995, "endDateIso": "2026-05-31", "startDateIso": "2026-05-11", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"59804740893116830082655722678282357324530422193334657680222344987920273408829\", \"97166107287234497412734496054463228470063422608173149121206267858484467672978\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 2106437.620742995, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-11T14:59:11Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0035, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0335, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-11T14:58:04.225827Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "2251595", "question": "Starmer out by May 19, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x69487ec66303113e2c9125f83de781ba9311656f5f79d811e1153aed5c427fab", "slug": "starmer-out-by-may-19-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-05-19T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-05-13T16:16:30.677097Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "1409955.0757919953", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-13T16:13:34.469227Z", "updatedAt": "2026-05-21T07:47:40.123115Z", "closedTime": "2026-05-20 07:50:17+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "May 19", "groupItemThreshold": "5", "questionID": "0x63c332b122dd6c98ebb450632bc65a09afeb7c201a8437d49ebd93a7ba6db832", "umaEndDate": "2026-05-20T07:50:17Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 1409955.0757919953, "endDateIso": "2026-05-19", "startDateIso": "2026-05-13", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"86631791178102284835303627564230753701108406544829251476759909669813938704600\", \"29731719008725720105485359247048659691379546124434626072644821000536449968932\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 1409955.0757919953, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-13T16:15:34Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0055, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-13T16:14:27.814518Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "2365093", "question": "Starmer out by July 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8", "slug": "starmer-out-by-july-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "66459.7062", "startDate": "2026-05-26T21:37:23.600526Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.465\", \"0.535\"]", "volume": "264639.692608", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-26T21:33:57.671258Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:35.63903Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "July 31", "groupItemThreshold": "9", "questionID": "0x131e06326f03789988a9c32945c5cc4f847c8341d98af9744b3a939fd2b08e5a", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 264639.692608, "liquidityNum": 66459.7062, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2026-05-26", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 25425.429604000004, "volume1wk": 109495.838101, "volume1mo": 264639.69260800024, "volume1yr": 264639.69260800024, "clobTokenIds": "[\"12316260208634619024419998059635392728148300786908961876402342801675280384721\", \"21535790826107031647637278608541214833512506673813076643478849021006686457817\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 25425.429604000004, "volume1wkClob": 109495.838101, "volume1moClob": 264639.69260800024, "volume1yrClob": 264639.69260800024, "volumeClob": 264639.692608, "liquidityClob": 66459.7062, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-26T21:36:28Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9987764987889834, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "401405", "conditionId": "0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 20, "startDate": "2026-05-26", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 100, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.01, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.06, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.1, "lastTradePrice": 0.47, "bestBid": 0.46, "bestAsk": 0.47, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-26T21:35:23.684648Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "2365092", "question": "Starmer out by June 15, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x3f75f0ebdcde8371e64cb1462ad7e893aff45003415986d02c29d823132aebd9", "slug": "starmer-out-by-june-15-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-15T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-05-26T21:37:04.752807Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/starmer-out-in-2025-teE3zEaEEyuO.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation\/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]", "volume": "5472.494756000001", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-06-09T19:37:18.942685Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:16.969262Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "October 31", "groupItemThreshold": "11", "questionID": "0x7ca147847b4bbc2b4f290ea5eda98eba1b50576ae1f91ad6a49114ebd6d03f6f", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 5472.494756000001, "liquidityNum": 26467.3707, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2026-06-09", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 4494.086418000001, "volume1wk": 5472.494756, "volume1mo": 5472.494756, "volume1yr": 5472.494756, "clobTokenIds": "[\"27357877897866246704108741817393548297190385468618028094122387972939664635133\", \"95764299349620856276030593005968183317587101640490436055926977407525041817653\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 4494.086418000001, "volume1wkClob": 5472.494756, "volume1moClob": 5472.494756, "volume1yrClob": 5472.494756, "volumeClob": 5472.494756000001, "liquidityClob": 26467.3707, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-06-09T22:42:27Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9633679342983069, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.01, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.015, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.19, "lastTradePrice": 0.7, "bestBid": 0.69, "bestAsk": 0.7, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-06-09T22:41:04.094727Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } } ], "tags": [ { "id": "101319", "label": "Starmer", "slug": "starmer", "createdAt": "2024-11-25T18:49:24.982919Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:32:49.912398Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "734", "label": "UK", "slug": "uk", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-12-13 20:16:30.79+00", "createdAt": "2023-12-13T20:16:30.802Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-24T16:00:06.360895Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101667", "label": "keir", "slug": "keir", "createdAt": "2025-01-09T17:32:57.605022Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:07:22.429087Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101617", "label": "Grooming Gangs", "slug": "grooming-gangs", "createdAt": "2025-01-03T18:07:54.416239Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:15:27.497894Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101970", "label": "World", "slug": "world", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "estimateValue": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Persistent internal Labour Party pressure on Keir Starmer has intensified amid low personal approval ratings and weak polling for the governing party ahead of future votes. Multiple cabinet and junior minister resignations, including those of Health Secretary Wes Streeting in May and Defence Secretary John Healey in June 2026 over policy disagreements, have fueled speculation about a formal leadership challenge. Starmer has repeatedly stated he will contest any such vote and refuses to set a departure timetable. Recent local election losses and disputes over defence spending have kept attention on potential succession scenarios involving figures such as Streeting or Andy Burnham. These developments sustain trader focus on near-term outcomes while Starmer retains formal authority as prime minister.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T06:00:47.175Z" } }, { "id": "17858", "ticker": "ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025", "slug": "ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025", "title": "Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. \n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, \u201cAgreed Basic Principles\u201d between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAn official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a \u201cYes\u201d resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.\n\nThe April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo\u2019s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and\/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.\n", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-02-06T23:19:09.390407Z", "creationDate": "2025-02-06T23:19:09.390405Z", "endDate": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 25015.97877, "volume": 2616195.1355140004, "openInterest": 66269.325396, "createdAt": "2025-02-06T22:01:47.648437Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.8679802100512108, "volume24hr": 278.53, "volume1wk": 25298.255743999995, "volume1mo": 119980.23053599996, "volume1yr": 2616195.1355140004, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 25015.97877, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 125, "markets": [ { "id": "522057", "question": "Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?", "conditionId": "0x591f785022238c7ea2563553d93c024e451a18ea74d9bbd79a6126c0267c588a", "slug": "ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-02-06T23:17:40.989Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025-aArQODeHnr5E.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. \n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. \n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThe deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. \n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. 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"showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-03T15:26:08.528222Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null } ], "tags": [ { "id": "101970", "label": "World", "slug": "world", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101191", "label": "Trump Presidency", "slug": "trump-presidency", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2024-11-06T04:59:43.354523Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:26:48.722731Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "270", "label": "putin", "slug": "putin", "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:46:19.507+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:46:19.528Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:26:28.78978Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "126", 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"estimateValue": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Ukraine's position on territorial integrity has remained firm amid ongoing U.S.-brokered talks into mid-2026, with no agreement reached that would require formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory such as Crimea or parts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, or Zaporizhzhia. Russia continues to condition any ceasefire on Ukrainian acceptance of these claims, while Kyiv has rejected such terms and recently reported net territorial gains of roughly 600 square kilometers in the first five months of 2026 through intensified strikes on Russian logistics. Negotiations have repeatedly stalled over these issues despite multiple rounds in early 2026, and Ukrainian leadership has signaled that major concessions would require domestic referendum approval unlikely to pass under current conditions. The approaching June 30, 2026 resolution window for related prediction markets underscores how sustained battlefield dynamics and diplomatic impasse continue to shape trader assessments of near-term deals.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:46:04.716Z" } }, { "id": "18558", "ticker": "ukraine-election-called-in-2025", "slug": "ukraine-election-called-in-2025", "title": "Ukraine election called by...?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-02-14T19:30:42.775652Z", "creationDate": "2025-02-14T19:30:42.775649Z", "endDate": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 25841.11635, "volume": 1580055.0999239995, "openInterest": 44699.848989, "createdAt": "2025-02-13T19:39:15.966366Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.9097318565352862, "volume24hr": 1855.5586099999998, "volume1wk": 81019.04273200002, "volume1mo": 220878.003666, "volume1yr": 1310968.777454001, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 25841.11635, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 36, "markets": [ { "id": "523343", "question": "Ukraine election called in 2025?", "conditionId": "0xf3d74c153a35436ff82a5f78200104975c5841140ace763f2954adb340cca511", "slug": "ukraine-election-called-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-02-14T19:28:26.116Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "982716.694339", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-02-13T19:39:17.849008Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T23:15:57.010175Z", "closedTime": "2026-01-01 09:11:37+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2025", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0xa094043bf8108d863998270c7f412507cd34679fa71dfb0bdd8e064ce1a92eb6", "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T09:11:37Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 982716.694339, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-02-14", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 51836.18834100001, "volume1mo": 165783.746216, "volume1yr": 982716.6943390013, "clobTokenIds": "[\"22255463452594162709449800579658835371746668793825841462318307382376621533755\", \"57160884655103428512814247631012981773015723019889832549493437551469480061242\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 51836.18834100001, "volume1moClob": 165783.746216, "volume1yrClob": 982716.6943390013, "volumeClob": 982716.694339, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-02-14T19:27:16Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 100, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.009, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.034, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "610380", "question": "Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x707125b175feb87a7d28c1e3b0e8e834f11c0dff65edac8c4fe5d1e12bf8fc33", "slug": "ukraine-election-called-by-june-30-2026-392", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T11:00:00Z", "liquidity": "16118.93229", "startDate": "2025-09-23T23:18:41.037Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]", "volume": "290548.12094", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-09-23T22:49:20.966682Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:39.364281Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0xcd56a2aab3432e062ad2520816476d101047d74039cb6b06eb80997243459e58", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 290548.12094, "liquidityNum": 16118.93229, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2025-09-23", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 982.9474999999999, "volume1wk": 14325.508284000003, "volume1mo": 18109.988919000003, "volume1yr": 290548.12093999964, "clobTokenIds": "[\"46392352440640691691403913163796829338832584619874037984805155658143745393622\", \"38746974225100760605049476871091018825176822620072388068043468416649080453478\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 982.9474999999999, "volume1wkClob": 14325.508284000003, "volume1moClob": 18109.988919000003, "volume1yrClob": 290548.12093999964, "volumeClob": 290548.12094, "liquidityClob": 16118.93229, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T23:18:19Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8054303726585385, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 20, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.007, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0065, "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.011, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.026, "lastTradePrice": 0.006, "bestBid": 0.005, "bestAsk": 0.012, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T23:17:51.796018Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "734115", "question": "Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xdab71ad1d7d7661435f2556eb8e29473d322d9d8af2705a9732c4872629de090", "slug": "ukraine-election-called-by-march-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-12-01T12:39:26.304555Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "269086.32246999943", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-28T15:35:34.322846Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T23:15:56.99533Z", "closedTime": "2026-04-01 07:36:01+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "March 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "1", "questionID": "0xe7aec12e4dc3eb9f723c35cf5898876b7bfa46363bd880b97ce89a25dd03e8c5", "umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T07:36:01Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 269086.32246999943, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-12-01", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"21820831062008538748141247411218227574369608245896609859008771625480147552641\", \"66322896688384299574504337711710693470719761654756732668481875262656827467708\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 269086.32246999943, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-01T12:39:04Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.01, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.04, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-01T12:38:34.177741Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "2261102", "question": "Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed", "slug": "ukraine-election-called-by-december-31-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "11843.649", "startDate": "2026-05-14T15:50:14.726907Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/ukraine-election-scheduled-in-2025-a5A5LV93aoXr.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]", "volume": "37703.96217500002", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-14T15:47:25.888438Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:01:57.632565Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "3", "questionID": "0xe95895cfda0599c4b93113ec17faf8d8e5f6c2af88b89687a3de84a3722d1c5f", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 37703.96217500002, "liquidityNum": 11843.649, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2026-05-14", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 872.6111099999999, "volume1wk": 14857.346107, "volume1mo": 36984.268531, "volume1yr": 37703.962175, "clobTokenIds": "[\"108022836882070634894978103447460059415631393810246745281341648986501895644031\", \"50035578024412312502715156279765769139689669299163153792052060268176088979005\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 872.6111099999999, "volume1wkClob": 14857.346107, "volume1moClob": 36984.268531, "volume1yrClob": 37703.962175, "volumeClob": 37703.96217500002, "liquidityClob": 11843.649, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-14T15:49:18Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9097318565352862, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "347551", "conditionId": "0xfaa78bad74daeb6e5296ae5785df7805275d00e84c81dc37954446132595caed", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 3, "startDate": "2026-05-14", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.03, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.03, "oneHourPriceChange": 0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.01, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.05, "lastTradePrice": 0.2, "bestBid": 0.17, "bestAsk": 0.2, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-14T15:48:11.152562Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null } ], "tags": [ { "id": "101970", "label": "World", "slug": "world", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100265", "label": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "forceShow": true, "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "96", "label": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00", "updatedBy": 15, "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101794", "label": "Foreign Policy", "slug": "foreign-policy", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:15:51.294685Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "102498", "label": "Trump-Zelenskyy", "slug": "trump-zelenskyy", "createdAt": "2025-08-16T20:50:50.502628Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:29.987909Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "startTime": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "countryName": "Ukraine", "estimateValue": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Ukraine's presidential and parliamentary elections remain on hold under constitutional rules barring votes during martial law, which parliament has extended through August 2, 2026. Officials concluded in March 2026 that holding national elections this year is not feasible due to ongoing security risks, logistical barriers from the war with Russia, and restrictions on campaigning and voting access. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly tied any vote to a prior ceasefire and credible security guarantees, rejecting timelines pushed by external actors without those conditions. Preparations would likely require several months after martial law lifts, shifting focus to potential late-2026 or 2027 dates if hostilities ease. Trader views reflect these legal and wartime constraints alongside diplomatic signals on peace talks.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:16:05.525Z" } }, { "id": "18571", "ticker": "will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025", "slug": "will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025", "title": "Will any country leave NATO by...?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO\u2019s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-02-13T23:08:41.618074Z", "creationDate": "2025-02-13T23:08:41.618072Z", "endDate": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 54942.31539, "volume": 1153587.2795690002, "openInterest": 113536.19836100002, "createdAt": "2025-02-13T22:27:42.74491Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.8300434216464949, "volume24hr": 3294.355899, "volume1wk": 10783.240538, "volume1mo": 85857.64600700003, "volume1yr": 1153587.279569, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 54942.31539, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 26, "markets": [ { "id": "523413", "question": "Will any country leave NATO in 2025?", "conditionId": "0x1b74c3efe140a09049e0eb6b6a2112e00fa4d199cdc718c1a58af1abf6d9e49d", "slug": "will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-02-13T23:07:31.891Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO\u2019s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nIf elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]", "volume": "214649.7385909998", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:24:22.343831Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:22.408189Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0x299c16d19e7f797754195a2ecf9ae6407a22753b482951b9a94ce4823a3c3bf5", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 214649.7385909998, "liquidityNum": 12999.1966, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-11-13", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 652.82, "volume1wk": 2550.949402, "volume1mo": 13428.002405000003, "volume1yr": 214649.7385909999, "clobTokenIds": "[\"109439459397675447272341488571573598040211823291452380402543262182060250075424\", \"65651447697756505945607381171434271908621057725573696706081861343152172944468\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 652.82, "volume1wkClob": 2550.949402, "volume1moClob": 13428.002405000003, "volume1yrClob": 214649.7385909999, "volumeClob": 214649.7385909998, "liquidityClob": 12999.1966, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T16:19:44Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8738203425375743, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.06, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.015, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.01, "lastTradePrice": 0.12, "bestBid": 0.09, "bestAsk": 0.15, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T16:19:15.323361Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null } ], "tags": [ { "id": "101970", "label": "World", "slug": "world", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "96", "label": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00", "updatedBy": 15, "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100265", "label": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "forceShow": true, "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101794", "label": "Foreign Policy", "slug": "foreign-policy", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:15:51.294685Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "102498", "label": "Trump-Zelenskyy", "slug": "trump-zelenskyy", "createdAt": "2025-08-16T20:50:50.502628Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:29.987909Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Ukraine\u2019s presidential and parliamentary elections remain suspended under martial law, extended for the 19th time in May 2026 until August 2, 2026. Constitutional rules prohibit national votes during active conflict, and President Zelenskyy has tied any election call to a prior ceasefire plus verifiable security guarantees. A mid-May 2026 U.S.-backed push for voting passed without action, while domestic polling and cross-party agreement emphasize that the first post-war ballot requires at least six months after martial law ends to organize logistics for displaced voters and troops. These legal, security, and political barriers explain why traders currently see the highest probability attached to a call by the end of 2026, with earlier dates viewed as improbable absent major diplomatic progress.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:31:07.062Z" } }, { "id": "22448", "ticker": "taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025", "slug": "taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025", "title": "Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements will qualify. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. \n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "1949547.316063", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "0xfb9243EBdB3EF80AB05D3A13eeac2077BA7B4651", "createdAt": "2025-04-07T21:37:06.313888Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T11:03:38.647259Z", "closedTime": "2026-01-01 08:18:43+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2025", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0xa12fe1d8a10d37cf3b3e67f120795bd764e898b47ab7ab7b0b5e65738ab83fd0", "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T08:18:43Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 1949547.316063, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-07-30", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 29206.699485000016, "volume1mo": 111552.94768699995, "volume1yr": 1949547.3160629966, "clobTokenIds": "[\"44305836174662659056360031599221289950024907383706896555756948878751959775782\", \"72122482770569588499506755542531317316214547923366033552728295449545343415738\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 29206.699485000016, "volume1moClob": 111552.94768699995, "volume1yrClob": 1949547.3160629966, "volumeClob": 1949547.316063, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-30T15:47:02Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.001, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.002, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.024, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-30T15:46:31.557378Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "culture_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "1048198", "question": "Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?", "conditionId": "0x1ba46d242ac8b0cd6abc243bdd76630bbb7fdbbd380c766ae569bc2cc42372b2", "slug": "taylor-swift-pregnant-by-march-31", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-03-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-12-28T23:07:36.759197Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025-5cpC3Ir4u5Pd.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025-5cpC3Ir4u5Pd.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements will qualify. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements will qualify. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if\/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]", "volume": "3065.9261930000016", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-12-03T22:43:56.792559Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:29.732698Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "3", "questionID": "0x8d6bfec1cdbd361252009aa8a98526c77d8d7803495d902bb6e2d25cf31d6d0f", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 3065.9261930000016, "liquidityNum": 8363.1482, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-12-04", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 5.681817, "volume1wk": 16.181817, "volume1mo": 349.388968, "volume1yr": 3065.926193, "clobTokenIds": "[\"113505976183184081887469552604570721227802596386749270798093363567289365382437\", \"102538487491850424790591550212489110219679828851969333270010095726524412529367\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 5.681817, "volume1wkClob": 16.181817, "volume1moClob": 349.388968, "volume1yrClob": 3065.926193, "volumeClob": 3065.9261930000016, "liquidityClob": 8363.1482, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-04T17:00:53Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8795848359574281, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "111593", "conditionId": "0xfa36659c97e233539fd77a8f9525d2f1664eba5ea57c4bed72c8101ba5266d15", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001, "startDate": "2026-03-23", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 20, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.02, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.025, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.185, "lastTradePrice": 0.14, "bestBid": 0.12, "bestAsk": 0.14, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-04T16:50:34.854757Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "813505", "question": "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?", "conditionId": "0xef416cfd80afbb43c7550a8fe0f950679ab3d6e60551e2a90f230106809fe2c5", "slug": "mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by-june-30", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "2555.9722", "startDate": "2025-12-04T17:01:14.696599Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-in-2025-1-7k5VgFR3NF.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-in-2025-1-7k5VgFR3NF.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if\/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]", "volume": "7328.649056000001", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-12-03T22:43:33.475774Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:29.134075Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0xadddccd7a0b4748063e79fecdbf664d6a58bc0ccced9433e5f92a2da47e9cd66", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 7328.649056000001, "liquidityNum": 2555.9722, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2025-12-04", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 59, "volume1wk": 468.235832, "volume1mo": 1728.070061, "volume1yr": 7328.649056000001, "clobTokenIds": "[\"90686053465094516567817655386166124897542061605406870889450915471482281028605\", \"98306811672124660042942012455036608757069915973874452428896679210519367135070\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 59, "volume1wkClob": 468.235832, "volume1moClob": 1728.070061, "volume1yrClob": 7328.649056000001, "volumeClob": 7328.649056000001, "liquidityClob": 2555.9722, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-04T17:00:53Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8063865817272801, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 20, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.002, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.009, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0285, "lastTradePrice": 0.028, "bestBid": 0.009, "bestAsk": 0.011, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-04T16:50:34.853921Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } } ], "tags": [ { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "327", "label": "us government", "slug": "us-government", "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:55:09.069+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:55:09.076Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:07:02.594019Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101279", "label": "house", "slug": "house", "createdAt": "2024-11-18T05:00:46.49846Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:11:05.901316Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "514", "label": "Congress", "slug": "congress", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-16 16:28:14.421+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-16T16:28:14.438Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T21:09:13.731814Z", "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel amid a narrowly divided House, where Republican internal divisions over spending, immigration enforcement, and procedural matters have periodically fueled speculation about challenges to his leadership. Rules adopted at the start of the 119th Congress raised the threshold for a privileged motion to vacate to nine Republican sponsors, reducing the ease of ouster attempts compared with prior Congresses. Earlier efforts, including one by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, were tabled with bipartisan support. Recent activity centers on advancing reconciliation measures and border security legislation before potential midterm pressures intensify later in 2026, with traders monitoring any erosion of conference unity or surprise floor maneuvers that could test the updated procedural safeguards.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T04:46:50.021Z" } }, { "id": "23784", "ticker": "what-will-happen-before-gta-vi", "slug": "what-will-happen-before-gta-vi", "title": "What will happen before GTA VI?", "description": "This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:25.262673Z", "creationDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:25.262669Z", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 733955.38993, "volume": 22699535.945681337, "openInterest": 736314.6454200001, "sortBy": "price", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T14:55:28.249386Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.9999797504100542, "volume24hr": 6432.522736, "volume1wk": 60956.69546099999, "volume1mo": 714353.1295249977, "volume1yr": 19326367.649345774, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 733955.38993, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 887, "markets": [ { "id": "540816", "question": "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x9c1a953fe92c8357f1b646ba25d983aa83e90c525992db14fb726fa895cb5763", "slug": "russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:00.174Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]", "volume": "1676301.745145051", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:03:10.397014Z", "updatedAt": "2026-05-10T04:32:40.557657Z", "closedTime": "2026-05-09 04:29:49+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire", "groupItemThreshold": "1", "questionID": "0x74dcd73f29877722e217723e10f2e8f9a888976f7cfc796234b75a3d3214d1c8", "umaEndDate": "2026-05-09T04:29:49Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 1676301.745145051, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "gameStartTime": "2026-05-08 20:00:00+00", "clobTokenIds": "[\"8501497159083948713316135768103773293754490207922884688769443031624417212426\", \"2527312495175492857904889758552137141356236738032676480522356889996545113869\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 1676301.745145051, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:37Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.54, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.275, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.05, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.29, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.265, "oneYearPriceChange": -0.4, "lastTradePrice": 0.54, "bestAsk": 0.54, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.719613Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "540817", "question": "New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x1fad72fae204143ff1c3035e99e7c0f65ea8d5cd9bd1070987bd1a3316f772be", "slug": "new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "23255.8766", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:10.582Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]", "volume": "828283.5517330063", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:04:43.762151Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:01:59.948566Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "New Rihanna Album", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0xb6fd5ea8c21f01471ad673950edd4a1645698946906abb27597e3f3de7bd70f1", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 828283.5517330063, "liquidityNum": 23255.8766, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 448.016933, "volume1wk": 5410.151545000002, "volume1mo": 98750.82824099966, "volume1yr": 639104.2303610039, "clobTokenIds": "[\"98022490269692409998126496127597032490334070080325855126491859374983463996227\", \"53831553061883006530739877284105938919721408776239639687877978808906551086026\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 448.016933, "volume1wkClob": 5410.151545000002, "volume1moClob": 98750.82824099966, "volume1yrClob": 639104.2303610039, "volumeClob": 828283.5517330063, "liquidityClob": 23255.8766, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:45Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9996001599360256, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.02, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.015, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.035, "oneYearPriceChange": -0.045, "lastTradePrice": 0.53, "bestBid": 0.51, "bestAsk": 0.53, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.727292Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "540818", "question": "New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc", "slug": "new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "17558.7362", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:10.837Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]", "volume": "740375.9367539465", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:06:24.136443Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:29.722188Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "New Playboi Carti Album ", "groupItemThreshold": "3", "questionID": "0x6ec4702f0a5bb188f0dd498647641f2aa13a871953a7f15fa3413939ad68144c", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 740375.9367539465, "liquidityNum": 17558.7362, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 98.827406, "volume1wk": 1095.4576459999998, "volume1mo": 6682.428471999999, "volume1yr": 179538.8443260016, "clobTokenIds": "[\"88275040060084773376557187972215267513049848642895776801789297917961077894224\", \"94376205816022955542979635542279932967359915765455578534002478996104754801969\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 98.827406, "volume1wkClob": 1095.4576459999998, "volume1moClob": 6682.428471999999, "volume1yrClob": 179538.8443260016, "volumeClob": 740375.9367539465, "liquidityClob": 17558.7362, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:45Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9996001599360256, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "384670", "conditionId": "0x50ddb9cd80d5c271664a2ebb7fcaed1d0a148d82c8e8d314d830f75a944c3dcc", "assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001, "startDate": "2026-05-21", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.04, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.01, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.005, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.015, "oneYearPriceChange": -0.285, "lastTradePrice": 0.5, "bestBid": 0.5, "bestAsk": 0.54, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.718487Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "540819", "question": "Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c", "slug": "will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "425671.9308", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:16.854Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]", "volume": "11580024.935871746", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:08:16.157823Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:25.768925Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "Jesus Christ returns", "groupItemThreshold": "4", "questionID": "0x9e84e9020884d3e603df981dc049bed477b64acfc623a739a7c51fed8de6cc5c", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 11580024.935871746, "liquidityNum": 425671.9308, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 1725.8529279999998, "volume1wk": 26297.479056999997, "volume1mo": 203998.62671299855, "volume1yr": 10979773.417701941, "clobTokenIds": "[\"90435811253665578014957380826505992530054077692143838383981805324273750424057\", \"92388629082681805622801622703528982922543286352927708208755887536971583436902\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 1725.8529279999998, "volume1wkClob": 26297.479056999997, "volume1moClob": 203998.62671299855, "volume1yrClob": 10979773.417701941, "volumeClob": 11580024.935871746, "liquidityClob": 425671.9308, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:47Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9999750006249843, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "459753", "conditionId": "0x32b09f6390252b37d674501527e709016d55581b2c1e544bd4b8167f5f732f4c", "assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001, "startDate": "2026-06-14", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.01, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.01, "oneYearPriceChange": 0.335, "lastTradePrice": 0.49, "bestBid": 0.49, "bestAsk": 0.5, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.72195Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "540820", "question": "Trump out as President before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9", "slug": "trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "41873.1398", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:17.107Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation\/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]", "volume": "665637.1599680072", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:15:30.618414Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:25.672408Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "Trump out as President ", "groupItemThreshold": "5", "questionID": "0xedea9101297fbb648d3a2ac06b936f801919660e9514a7ff7fe6c17c40cd8fed", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 665637.1599680072, "liquidityNum": 41873.1398, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 227.17078299999997, "volume1wk": 1204.0901840000001, "volume1mo": 19034.711394000016, "volume1yr": 638513.4620630104, "clobTokenIds": "[\"108999723207897941876452935557011604067917389120996960199512481363958770540884\", \"64533579809297525579033609963634939501013332859992608996100633472507000251907\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 227.17078299999997, "volume1wkClob": 1204.0901840000001, "volume1moClob": 19034.711394000016, "volume1yrClob": 638513.4620630104, "volumeClob": 665637.1599680072, "liquidityClob": 41873.1398, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:49Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9999750006249843, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "350879", "conditionId": "0x84f8b70331323c2fba97d7ceaa9a35fb645a0770d0dbff169d07f24f376766e9", "assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001, "startDate": "2026-05-15", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.01, "oneYearPriceChange": 0.35, "lastTradePrice": 0.51, "bestBid": 0.5, "bestAsk": 0.51, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.726154Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "540843", "question": "Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11", "slug": "will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "38760.2126", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:16.6Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation\/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]", "volume": "1866138.5341490658", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:22:02.679893Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:25.079122Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "China invades Taiwan ", "groupItemThreshold": "7", "questionID": "0x68ac8b4c60870980ae87c3a1da8730f46755c5e66c715032fc6c90b53f2ec4ec", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 1866138.5341490658, "liquidityNum": 38760.2126, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 355.231567, "volume1wk": 4236.444075000001, "volume1mo": 39239.51536699999, "volume1yr": 1831757.928187052, "clobTokenIds": "[\"21695138873211375451055566770107682325494206727818897067665810321709249824909\", \"17516427576383382756368467656206258206490015951115433065318503962238754362428\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 355.231567, "volume1wkClob": 4236.444075000001, "volume1moClob": 39239.51536699999, "volume1yrClob": 1831757.928187052, "volumeClob": 1866138.5341490658, "liquidityClob": 38760.2126, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:47Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9999750006249843, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.01, "oneYearPriceChange": 0.3, "lastTradePrice": 0.5, "bestBid": 0.5, "bestAsk": 0.51, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.723394Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "540844", "question": "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2", "slug": "will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872-424", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "108266.18488", "startDate": "2025-05-02T15:48:17.361Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/trade\/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.4955\", \"0.5045\"]", "volume": "4480866.377686517", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-02T15:24:45.04244Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:17.652095Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "Bitcoin hits $1m", "groupItemThreshold": "8", "questionID": "0x7e4ff7b7fdfe7d1fbc6c0e2a7626ae4fc8d62f3848a5e601d511a51bdfa51f09", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 4480866.377686517, "liquidityNum": 108266.18488, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-02", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 3493.0242329999996, "volume1wk": 21312.767973999988, "volume1mo": 318778.1051839995, "volume1yr": 4380640.026624764, "clobTokenIds": "[\"105267568073659068217311993901927962476298440625043565106676088842803600775810\", \"91863162118308663069733924043159186005106558783397508844234610341221325526200\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 3493.0242329999996, "volume1wkClob": 21312.767973999988, "volume1moClob": 318778.1051839995, "volume1yrClob": 4380640.026624764, "volumeClob": 4480866.377686517, "liquidityClob": 108266.18488, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:49Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9999797504100542, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.001, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.003, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.007, "oneYearPriceChange": 0.3405, "lastTradePrice": 0.495, "bestBid": 0.495, "bestAsk": 0.496, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-02T15:47:04.724576Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "573647", "question": "Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2", "slug": "will-gpt-6-be-released", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "36054.5207", "startDate": "2025-08-07T14:21:34.535Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nTo qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.53\", \"0.47\"]", "volume": "661055.308053997", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "0xF572b3B4BE2c67837A206F660cA7b51F0D7e585F", "createdAt": "2025-08-07T14:03:41.38976Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:35.332483Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "GPT-6 released", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0x9c4c41b0d3e1a61764250a0f6f53a26e073df17fe4d892699283fae2fa94eabb", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 661055.308053997, "liquidityNum": 36054.5207, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2025-08-07", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 72.398886, "volume1wk": 977.8449800000001, "volume1mo": 11866.938268000004, "volume1yr": 661055.3080539998, "clobTokenIds": "[\"71552623345730992280501476931299615437386807576519105089437764117985071980606\", \"48266425622404486484896353767723266081505997963592758694068789352158715350186\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 72.398886, "volume1wkClob": 977.8449800000001, "volume1moClob": 11866.938268000004, "volume1yrClob": 661055.3080539998, "volumeClob": 661055.308053997, "liquidityClob": 36054.5207, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-08-07T14:21:13Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9991008092716555, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "374592", "conditionId": "0x0ea8005efbc460378340a2f28a6d97b0d1d9d9d7fba4d16f529b8a415dca77a2", "assetAddress": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001, "startDate": "2026-05-18", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 0, "rewardsMaxSpread": 0, "spread": 0.02, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.01, "lastTradePrice": 0.54, "bestBid": 0.52, "bestAsk": 0.54, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-08-07T14:20:42.400176Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "1117522", "question": "Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0xc829edf5ca6961e441c266546064b629c29a9313694689c0768db92810db62ff", "slug": "will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi-355", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-01-06T00:20:15.433Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nIceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles \u201cIceman Episode (1-4)\u201d, and the singles \u201cWhat Did I Miss\u201d, \u201cWhich One\u201d, and \u201cDog House.\u201d\n\nOfficially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nThe full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]", "volume": "184867.9642920002", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-01-05T23:40:27.656833Z", "updatedAt": "2026-05-21T21:05:23.45614Z", "closedTime": "2026-05-15 09:40:31+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "Drake releases Iceman", "groupItemThreshold": "9", "questionID": "0xa1c2c3e248f048170f13cfd40bbf64d1d62b01416239fbd00840f60a0fe6bda2", "umaEndDate": "2026-05-15T09:40:31Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 184867.9642920002, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2026-01-06", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"40694415003591202786878279287884766002429923551809555441858630935269489320071\", \"31737648224640860538361785861700072557227859645060732743904381890720199497279\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 184867.9642920002, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-06T00:19:53Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 100, "rewardsMaxSpread": 2.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0055, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.012, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.1095, "lastTradePrice": 0.999, "bestBid": 0.999, "bestAsk": 1, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-06T00:19:21.850657Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "2325588", "question": "Another pandemic before GTA VI?", "conditionId": "0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e", "slug": "another-pandemic-before-gta-vi", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-07-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "45187.4601", "startDate": "2026-05-21T21:10:08.125Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for another pandemic's occurrence will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]", "volume": "15984.432028", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-21T21:05:21.441527Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:21.653926Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "Another Pandemic", "groupItemThreshold": "6", "questionID": "0xa23844eaec64d4fdf101e21f16237e21013353ebbf55649d2f4160d4c64f41c4", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 15984.432028, "liquidityNum": 45187.4601, "endDateIso": "2026-07-31", "startDateIso": "2026-05-21", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 2, "volume1wk": 414.46000000000004, "volume1mo": 15984.432028000003, "volume1yr": 15984.432028000003, "clobTokenIds": "[\"73519690123669857152453405885723415686475855163989537762769966905300245435421\", \"62146921459129643983706019071835400268748047142556153578498180948195146798405\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 2, "volume1wkClob": 414.46000000000004, "volume1moClob": 15984.432028000003, "volume1yrClob": 15984.432028000003, "volumeClob": 15984.432028, "liquidityClob": 45187.4601, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-21T21:09:12Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9999750006249843, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "385793", "conditionId": "0x71b1cc47f4cfe66e7aefa3705f1e55845a398e61788566463ee73a00f57ab59e", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-05-21", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.01, "lastTradePrice": 0.5, "bestBid": 0.5, "bestAsk": 0.51, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-21T21:08:06.760762Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "general_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } } ], "tags": [ { "id": "596", "label": "Culture", "slug": "pop-culture", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00", "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100215", "label": "All", "slug": "all", "forceShow": false, "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:23:54.340488Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "102109", "label": "GTA VI", "slug": "gta-vi", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-05-06T18:59:54.453812Z", "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "eventCreators": [ { "id": "35", "creatorName": "Complex", "creatorHandle": "Complex", "creatorUrl": "https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/complex\/?dub_id=uufP7v9XO0yJTJxj#", "creatorImage": "https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/1616533296770416655\/AumWVpWu_400x400.jpg", "createdAt": "2025-06-17T16:52:15.706551Z" } ], "negRiskAugmented": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Rockstar Games and parent company Take-Two have locked in GTA VI\u2019s release for November 19, 2026, following earlier shifts from a planned May date, with the CEO repeatedly affirming no further delays during recent earnings calls. This compressed five-month window before launch has shaped trader positioning across the suite of related Polymarket contracts, as limited time remains for major cultural or global events to resolve ahead of the game. Marketing momentum is expected to accelerate this summer, potentially crowding out attention for competing releases or announcements, while historical patterns show Rockstar rarely alters dates once publicly reiterated at this stage. Speculative outcomes like new albums from high-profile artists or extreme market milestones face tighter odds as a result, with traders closely watching any late-breaking industry updates or macroeconomic shifts that could still intervene before the November lock.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T06:00:45.727Z" } }, { "id": "24383", "ticker": "harvey-weinstein-prison-time", "slug": "harvey-weinstein-prison-time", "title": "Harvey Weinstein prison time?", "description": "This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-05-12T22:52:24.091151Z", "creationDate": "2025-05-12T22:52:24.091148Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 18592.90592, "volume": 1075950.6453150017, "openInterest": 57696.252339000006, "createdAt": "2025-05-12T22:26:22.013988Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.9115502301778275, "volume24hr": 989.6872020000001, "volume1wk": 4170.12982, "volume1mo": 85820.20870900001, "volume1yr": 1059999.160223, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 18592.90592, "negRisk": true, "negRiskMarketID": "0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400", "commentCount": 23, "markets": [ { "id": "544092", "question": "Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?", "conditionId": "0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f", "slug": "will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-no-prison-time", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "2385.18691", "startDate": "2025-05-12T22:50:41.123Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to \"No Prison Time.\"\n\nIf the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.812\", \"0.188\"]", "volume": "375211.2251850018", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-12T22:26:22.665665Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:02.351235Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "No Prison Time", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 375211.2251850018, "liquidityNum": 2385.18691, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-12", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 36.34212, "volume1wk": 794.0232560000001, "volume1mo": 26475.10008400001, "volume1yr": 370938.02394299983, "clobTokenIds": "[\"24327803960645909378149041810697343640752122608192367041827900158592826352552\", \"86488478623677188352872801318507143761188967461168408688159600382919967378486\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 36.34212, "volume1wkClob": 794.0232560000001, "volume1moClob": 26475.10008400001, "volume1yrClob": 370938.02394299983, "volumeClob": 375211.2251850018, "liquidityClob": 2385.18691, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": true, "negRiskMarketID": "0xaa0edfa656a0e70bf8c63f09438cd70979fef8e31fcc62d80840b5a375a55400", "negRiskRequestID": "0x568eb63b725b4f413c514498165e6383f25612ac8a278bee67fd629cef2ce519", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-12T22:50:14Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9112912632684008, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "103363", "conditionId": "0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001, "startDate": "2026-03-15", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 20, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.022, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.016, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0235, "oneYearPriceChange": 0.642, "lastTradePrice": 0.801, "bestBid": 0.801, "bestAsk": 0.823, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-12T22:47:20.560458Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "culture_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.05, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "544093", "question": "Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?", "conditionId": "0xe2b48e3b44de9658ee9c8b37354301763e33c0b502fd966839d644b4c0a9dea8", "slug": "will-harvey-weinstein-be-sentenced-to-less-than-5-years-in-prison", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "4316.83651", "startDate": "2025-05-12T22:50:42.117Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/harvey-weinstein-prison-time-C0vjbSkDw4Cy.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. 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Upcoming hearings, including a June 24 status conference on whether prosecutors will pursue another Manhattan retrial, represent the next catalysts likely to influence these odds.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:16:07.760Z" } }, { "id": "25009", "ticker": "will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by", "slug": "will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by", "title": "Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?", "description": "This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-05-22T14:50:24.927835Z", "creationDate": "2025-05-22T14:50:24.927832Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 505.7613, "volume": 256121.39404400004, "openInterest": 7031.715699, "createdAt": "2025-05-22T14:37:13.578027Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.9869476177551876, "volume1wk": 435.352, "volume1mo": 4650.77181, "volume1yr": 40123.66083599999, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 505.7613, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 32, "markets": [ { "id": "546611", "question": "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?", "conditionId": "0xd4f79cbb0e6aa3035f19ea539d7186d126b4ba6f9b6aa463ebea7d3523f8bf05", "slug": "will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "liquidity": "0", "startDate": "2025-05-22T14:50:06.990127Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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An executive confirmed in January that the company remained on track for a second-half reveal of a screenless AI device, yet February reporting indicated first customer shipments have moved to early 2027 at the earliest, with prototypes still advancing through partners like Luxshare. This uncertainty, set against competition from established wearables and voice assistants, centers market sentiment on whether a formal launch\u2014distinct from an announcement\u2014can occur by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer or earnings updates that could clarify production readiness.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:31:59.687Z" } }, { "id": "25036", "ticker": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by", "title": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?", "description": "This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-05-22T21:22:27.724651Z", "creationDate": "2025-05-22T21:22:27.724648Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 126042.45553, "volume": 6689866.714805005, "openInterest": 376277.229877, "createdAt": "2025-05-22T21:05:50.676357Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.9727094212986886, "volume24hr": 9421.018470999996, "volume1wk": 483588.95069, "volume1mo": 2242484.2858349998, "volume1yr": 5430394.209701999, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 126042.45553, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 498, "markets": [ { "id": "546805", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?", "conditionId": "0x5fa63a3f820801f6bab4f95a9fc4453c004ab1881b6be2c2cb26c812f7efb997", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-august-31", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-08-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-05-22T21:21:03.317115Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "820505.02216", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-22T21:06:55.225812Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.114772Z", "closedTime": "2025-09-01 06:28:52+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "August 31", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0x4ea006a4454c2dc79c9738e820ff965175fc2c8845d358a0384a03c2533a5bcf", "umaEndDate": "2025-09-01T06:28:52Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 820505.02216, "endDateIso": "2025-08-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-22", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 53283.02003999999, "volume1mo": 472014.95997800014, "volume1yr": 820505.0221599991, "clobTokenIds": "[\"52764520351434119047034479962184961804730800614485355573059721230866709386316\", \"50939339576833016698573110949129257192038949921900247130555235008970489450900\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 53283.02003999999, "volume1moClob": 472014.95997800014, "volume1yrClob": 820505.0221599991, "volumeClob": 820505.02216, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-22T21:20:34Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428105", "conditionId": "0x5fa63a3f820801f6bab4f95a9fc4453c004ab1881b6be2c2cb26c812f7efb997", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0145, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.051, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-22T21:19:57.13184Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "546806", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?", "conditionId": "0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-266-839-138", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-05-22T21:21:03.57Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "1307057.244169", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-22T21:11:26.543541Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.058462Z", "closedTime": "2026-01-01 09:14:39+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": " December 31", "groupItemThreshold": "4", "questionID": "0x11c7ebe54b3bc4dd87a0adb979a2532f3cb96fa870d41c0c105892f760ea3fde", "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T09:14:39Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 1307057.244169, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-22", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 47604.17484199999, "volume1mo": 249119.967711, "volume1yr": 1307057.2441690012, "clobTokenIds": "[\"58798923314292213706108095296759377158063350000880445982478753522386393910973\", \"16759809660065614657316136762877254422251604138946045908613588571784925013992\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 47604.17484199999, "volume1moClob": 249119.967711, "volume1yrClob": 1307057.2441690012, "volumeClob": 1307057.244169, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-22T21:20:36Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428108", "conditionId": "0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.018, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.2175, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-22T21:19:57.12882Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "560560", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?", "conditionId": "0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-october-31-788", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-10-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-07-07T04:01:13.354Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by October 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "701057.717926", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "0x39A73aAeed8871C1D36016eAc519Aa625726e59F", "createdAt": "2025-07-07T03:32:12.542705Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.015004Z", "closedTime": "2025-11-01 06:29:10+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "October 31", "groupItemThreshold": "2", "questionID": "0xb33562b43a7fb9bc0621bb509adbf1629e1ab5268c0381f420843f3ec6139a01", "umaEndDate": "2025-11-01T06:29:10Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 701057.717926, "endDateIso": "2025-10-31", "startDateIso": "2025-07-07", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 41283.20729600001, "volume1mo": 230393.0779559998, "volume1yr": 701057.7179259998, "clobTokenIds": "[\"57509386515638203409676353122070128915263312270689905975542272900147217912507\", \"56204317272716953593028494650753841280461771658055690484625859869098941695564\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 41283.20729600001, "volume1moClob": 230393.0779559998, "volume1yrClob": 701057.7179259998, "volumeClob": 701057.717926, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-07T04:00:50Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428109", "conditionId": "0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0275, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0645, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-07T04:00:12.638623Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "575194", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?", "conditionId": "0x8f7c60f27f0b885531538bad8e3cf66f74e2ecdb084f9f3662043d69127bfc8c", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30-111", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-08-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-08-12T17:13:05.395865Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "163807.773962", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "0x00A284A28628922529c2088924E5Ad0A739dA66d", "createdAt": "2025-08-12T17:00:50.147184Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.121552Z", "closedTime": "2025-10-01 06:14:45+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "September 30", "groupItemThreshold": "1", "questionID": "0xe87c96013e0837dc32d6962f3ef0c59dba229da671ac9be20bc41e758e03617c", "umaEndDate": "2025-10-01T06:14:45Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 163807.773962, "endDateIso": "2025-08-31", "startDateIso": "2025-08-12", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 13236.180385, "volume1mo": 99637.15513099995, "volume1yr": 163807.77396199995, "clobTokenIds": "[\"114381589136409215143279241982285449157407779193398667940575043679964367420662\", \"7226328177805702284817831455077713195078779803101002290052645015901358643638\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 13236.180385, "volume1moClob": 99637.15513099995, "volume1yrClob": 163807.77396199995, "volumeClob": 163807.773962, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-08-12T17:12:45Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "36244", "conditionId": "0x8f7c60f27f0b885531538bad8e3cf66f74e2ecdb084f9f3662043d69127bfc8c", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.008, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1645, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-08-12T17:12:15.382866Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "642526", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?", "conditionId": "0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-november-30", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-10-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-10-21T19:29:11.125714Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by November 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "229509.128995", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-10-21T13:45:37.581566Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.062849Z", "closedTime": "2025-12-01 07:33:40+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "November 30", "groupItemThreshold": "3", "questionID": "0x8f07e517a304c886955497ce5e7a791f5dd80ec5484c0f1ef59e5166d8401f98", "umaEndDate": "2025-12-01T07:33:40Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 229509.128995, "endDateIso": "2025-10-31", "startDateIso": "2025-10-21", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 21704.066098, "volume1mo": 166077.9794079999, "volume1yr": 229509.1289949998, "clobTokenIds": "[\"26340281514116361739177694696142465392610507254614159065410861117730143622187\", \"77445434236199640828285894610915168465113925137412738738677921101339333881186\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 21704.066098, "volume1moClob": 166077.9794079999, "volume1yrClob": 229509.1289949998, "volumeClob": 229509.128995, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-21T19:28:49Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "39140", "conditionId": "0xd6b3dba9eefc9b556c3bb0f140e7d530759e70ed1283caeb162c31df477c1e1a", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.004, "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0035, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.031, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.2705, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-21T19:28:22.128044Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "898678", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?", "conditionId": "0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-january-31", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-03-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-12-09T00:38:09.352Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market\u2019s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \u201cAssessed Russian Control\u201d, \u201cAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraine\u201d, or \u201cAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours\u201d will qualify. \u201cAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\u201d will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "496558.346575", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-12-09T00:01:55.362849Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.076803Z", "closedTime": "2026-02-01 08:00:46+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "January 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "5", "questionID": "0xcae03d68faf92abe5d7b9f83c772caf7ee3a4c5de9b36898b61e0c4e58149984", "umaEndDate": "2026-02-01T08:00:46Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 496558.346575, "endDateIso": "2026-03-31", "startDateIso": "2025-12-09", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 67052.53479200003, "volume1mo": 379685.8219830001, "volume1yr": 496558.3465750002, "clobTokenIds": "[\"37281046158137671889895383499164526727881692321679587626659940834369685019496\", \"11132544244839265378732084165256379227175677028258955804895976429843086532411\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 67052.53479200003, "volume1moClob": 379685.8219830001, "volume1yrClob": 496558.3465750002, "volumeClob": 496558.346575, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-09T00:37:47Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428015", "conditionId": "0xa65fe234ac3808801290874c631e55bcfee30e437c78239808729a89d9f2de22", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.003, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0945, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.2195, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-09T00:37:17.372882Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "677361", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?", "conditionId": "0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-march-31-872-578", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-03-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-11-13T16:23:45.868Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "965800.9519230045", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:26:22.455602Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:29.992716Z", "closedTime": "2026-04-01 06:22:17+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "March 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "7", "questionID": "0x960b8fe78b127652ed8e5b0f895137f7d30226dea710d57a1313d3d93a1d5cb0", "umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T06:22:17Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 965800.9519230045, "endDateIso": "2026-03-31", "startDateIso": "2025-11-13", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"94521268801533640253484626268475643884882213091508756864952897781498391313602\", \"63761293627321054794056701530662561252253979399794304476663814039986928052742\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 965800.9519230045, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T16:23:24Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428018", "conditionId": "0x6987d084de71031819f82051ea62b29a354628c3e4a22076a2acc197c776080a", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.03, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.045, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.48, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T16:22:55.343944Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "677366", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?", "conditionId": "0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578-687", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-12-31T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "73669.0472", "startDate": "2025-11-13T16:24:05.994Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.915\", \"0.085\"]", "volume": "587831.365465", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:27:09.238172Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:01:57.90819Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "11", "questionID": "0xb4756d4c88a97988c3aa438fcec0b0b77634e7cfc85f4cbfe3db83572c976aae", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 587831.365465, "liquidityNum": 73669.0472, "endDateIso": "2026-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-11-13", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 717.738146, "volume1wk": 50821.89202099999, "volume1mo": 142888.53274700002, "volume1yr": 587831.3654650011, "clobTokenIds": "[\"83552904656813968939383082097054433404653657244784709614448703928529504455469\", \"47029152085101973226255505664149277121974669906212969183902148537312535402801\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 717.738146, "volume1wkClob": 50821.89202099999, "volume1moClob": 142888.53274700002, "volume1yrClob": 587831.3654650011, "volumeClob": 587831.365465, "liquidityClob": 73669.0472, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T16:23:44Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.8530785472072341, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "291707", "conditionId": "0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 5, "startDate": "2026-06-15", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.01, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.095, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.17, "lastTradePrice": 0.91, "bestBid": 0.91, "bestAsk": 0.92, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T16:23:15.444123Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "956942", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?", "conditionId": "0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-february-28", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-03-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-12-17T20:53:32.04Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market\u2019s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \u201cAssessed Russian Control\u201d, \u201cAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraine\u201d, or \u201cAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours\u201d will qualify. \u201cAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\u201d will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "486173.461815", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-12-17T20:51:51.563238Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T22:18:30.001394Z", "closedTime": "2026-03-01 07:26:23+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "February 28, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "6", "questionID": "0xbe5e1a505622dc16b022e647aaf4d449fac6135286abd159a0e761efdf2faebe", "umaEndDate": "2026-03-01T07:26:23Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 486173.461815, "endDateIso": "2026-03-31", "startDateIso": "2025-12-17", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 38520.792045, "volume1mo": 176247.5126260001, "volume1yr": 486173.4618150009, "clobTokenIds": "[\"3464795463763108108909057219187376740735691886447931192725079515654033695019\", \"96229871085374132303116376471322311695842738677806841162553339355812305824040\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 38520.792045, "volume1moClob": 176247.5126260001, "volume1yrClob": 486173.4618150009, "volumeClob": 486173.461815, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-17T20:53:09Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428020", "conditionId": "0x5f33f46fa571836f090ef8f3e62caee237f8f73c36a711e757a6f71bf8ef9c6a", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.018, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.3315, "lastTradePrice": 0.001, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-17T20:52:40.03807Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "1397260", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?", "conditionId": "0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-june-30-382-954-769", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "10267.41262", "startDate": "2026-02-19T12:24:20.546Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market\u2019s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \u201cAssessed Russian Control\u201d, \u201cAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraine\u201d, or \u201cAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours\u201d will qualify. \u201cAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\u201d will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.3325\", \"0.6675\"]", "volume": "557269.0160310011", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-02-19T12:19:32.163641Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:21.841886Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "10", "questionID": "0x9477316f1c03d7b60a44c6de7ea6c5d2d6fedbaf947e1f8ae451e840be053f5a", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 557269.0160310011, "liquidityNum": 10267.41262, "endDateIso": "2026-06-30", "startDateIso": "2026-02-19", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 8368.846622999996, "volume1wk": 119583.833772, "volume1mo": 249759.4730389999, "volume1yr": 557269.0160309972, "clobTokenIds": "[\"92557339599379991257792137259949406096653890374419429974555855496093508422916\", \"43321630833125241017427912676100747595457556487829359498141771278458547970943\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 8368.846622999996, "volume1wkClob": 119583.833772, "volume1moClob": 249759.4730389999, "volume1yrClob": 557269.0160309972, "volumeClob": 557269.0160310011, "liquidityClob": 10267.41262, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-19T12:23:14Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9727094212986886, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "277501", "conditionId": "0xb23587fc1e319cdf9aaa12c503f6b2149c820c3d64ded3c98b4ff6719cac78fe", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 5, "startDate": "2026-06-17", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.003, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0605, "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0925, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0535, "lastTradePrice": 0.33, "bestBid": 0.331, "bestAsk": 0.334, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-19T12:21:59.737659Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "1397301", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?", "conditionId": "0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-april-30", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-04-30T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-02-19T12:52:38.015Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market\u2019s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \u201cAssessed Russian Control\u201d, \u201cAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraine\u201d, or \u201cAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours\u201d will qualify. \u201cAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\u201d will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "223820.87166499996", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-02-19T12:49:37.685922Z", "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T06:14:04.117098Z", "closedTime": "2026-05-01 06:55:42+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "April 30, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "8", "questionID": "0xe399f5f86f0a33219c28e6b780ebb419c8dc2392b48ceeeed825884d53617fc4", "umaEndDate": "2026-05-01T06:55:42Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 223820.87166499996, "endDateIso": "2026-04-30", "startDateIso": "2026-02-19", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"91598277451888833943457869299081344513189737907823485218592748863763321112699\", \"53831658761992660262271167425488866803302305236549476786294052519241195037228\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 223820.87166499996, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-19T12:51:32Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428180", "conditionId": "0x19f4555bdaf83d0d433f62013c005a73de4787ed737550f81a6d265fa28d976c", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0025, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.067, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1795, "lastTradePrice": 0.009, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-19T12:50:20.355087Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "2047653", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?", "conditionId": "0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-may-31", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-05-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2026-04-21T22:11:39.521371Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market\u2019s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \u201cAssessed Russian Control\u201d, \u201cAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraine\u201d, or \u201cAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours\u201d will qualify. \u201cAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\u201d will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "69850.68151500002", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-04-21T22:07:27.001781Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-02T07:07:42.265229Z", "closedTime": "2026-06-01 06:56:52+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "May 31, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "9", "questionID": "0x735290e65b0f6e19ec03b2db9e34cf0f4d9a569a76145023663481386f85b4cb", "umaEndDate": "2026-06-01T06:56:52Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 69850.68151500002, "endDateIso": "2026-05-31", "startDateIso": "2026-04-21", "hasReviewedDates": true, "clobTokenIds": "[\"29809011696982220732063546542308622474802854943333188643218359463829709235487\", \"25648885101397690756283800036871749844131890020935661811158571426964687277506\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volumeClob": 69850.68151500002, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-21T22:10:36Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "428183", "conditionId": "0xc13c31b0e5d48e978cc5c66318659ecab10e9882543e87a5f4eea5a5f889bdc2", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-10", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.014, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.008, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0845, "lastTradePrice": 0.01, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-21T22:09:22.720893Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null }, { "id": "2159718", "question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?", "conditionId": "0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231", "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-september-30", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2026-09-30T12:00:00Z", "liquidity": "42580.7525", "startDate": "2026-05-04T20:45:49.43525Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-38lHU3PVeM7C.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\/\/storymaps.arcgis.com\/stories\/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market\u2019s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \u201cAssessed Russian Control\u201d, \u201cAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraine\u201d, or \u201cAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours\u201d will qualify. \u201cAssessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\u201d will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https:\/\/maps.app.goo.gl\/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\/\/deepstatemap.live\/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0.805\", \"0.195\"]", "volume": "80625.13260399995", "active": true, "closed": false, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2026-05-04T20:42:57.818734Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:03:25.432372Z", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "September 30, 2026", "groupItemThreshold": "11", "questionID": "0x6bbdd2110eb729279f3bc5a99ae1489aef85cfcd27e31c4f6cacb3f5c492f3fd", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01, "orderMinSize": 5, "volumeNum": 80625.13260399995, "liquidityNum": 42580.7525, "endDateIso": "2026-09-30", "startDateIso": "2026-05-04", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume24hr": 334.43370200000004, "volume1wk": 30499.249398999986, "volume1mo": 76659.80525600004, "volume1yr": 80625.13260400001, "clobTokenIds": "[\"55628874182306186050631811887515133881663823417535899038376461448048315313936\", \"63712527751974257201038440220031691363508120012860375402898424160848105925111\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume24hrClob": 334.43370200000004, "volume1wkClob": 30499.249398999986, "volume1moClob": 76659.80525600004, "volume1yrClob": 80625.13260400001, "volumeClob": 80625.13260399995, "liquidityClob": 42580.7525, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": true, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-04T20:44:46Z", "cyom": false, "competitive": 0.9148921570869833, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "clobRewards": [ { "id": "309744", "conditionId": "0x271e1d96693db79b42a277dc5f64b61a72bc1a0fad85586fd28c7d89b9b96231", "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174", "rewardsAmount": 0, "rewardsDailyRate": 2, "startDate": "2026-06-16", "endDate": "2500-12-31" } ], "rewardsMinSize": 50, "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5, "spread": 0.01, "oneDayPriceChange": 0.01, "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.115, "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.25, "lastTradePrice": 0.81, "bestBid": 0.8, "bestAsk": 0.81, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-04T20:43:27.503491Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": null } ], "tags": [ { "id": "96", "label": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00", "updatedBy": 15, "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:11:46.161003Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "2", "label": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "forceShow": false, "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00", "updatedBy": 13, "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z", "forceHide": true, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "101970", "label": "World", "slug": "world", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:18:59.135061Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "100265", "label": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "forceShow": true, "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z", "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "102475", "label": "Russia Capture", "slug": "russia-capture", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-08-07T21:17:05.925606Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:11:46.156489Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false }, { "id": "102486", "label": "Ukraine Map", "slug": "ukraine-map", "forceShow": false, "createdAt": "2025-08-12T21:44:08.906337Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.187435Z", "isCarousel": false, "requiresTranslation": false } ], "cyom": false, "showAllOutcomes": true, "showMarketImages": false, "enableNegRisk": false, "automaticallyActive": true, "gmpChartMode": "default", "negRiskAugmented": false, "estimateValue": false, "cumulativeMarkets": false, "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "requiresTranslation": false, "eventMetadata": { "context_description": "Russian forces have intensified offensive operations around Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, conducting repeated infiltration missions, motorized assaults, and incremental advances into eastern, western, and southern sectors of the city as of mid-June 2026. Ukrainian defenders have cleared some infiltrators while reporting a deteriorating tactical position that could lead to semi-encirclement if Russian units link up near key infrastructure such as the railway station and H-20 highway. These developments, set against Russia's assessed prioritization of the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka axis, underpin trader assessments of capture timelines, though confirmed full control remains pending amid ongoing urban combat and Ukrainian resistance.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:31:07.956Z" } }, { "id": "25391", "ticker": "spain-snap-election-called-by", "slug": "spain-snap-election-called-by", "title": "Spain snap election called by...?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolutionSource": "", "startDate": "2025-05-28T18:38:29.141223Z", "creationDate": "2025-05-28T18:38:29.14122Z", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg", "active": true, "closed": false, "archived": false, "new": false, "featured": false, "restricted": true, "liquidity": 9629.03295, "volume": 174669.28703799992, "openInterest": 21705.728703, "createdAt": "2025-05-28T17:17:11.280439Z", "updatedAt": "2026-06-17T06:02:08.844211Z", "competitive": 0.8269203934073772, "volume24hr": 45.81, "volume1wk": 7209.242333999999, "volume1mo": 35680.78205500001, "volume1yr": 174669.28703799992, "enableOrderBook": true, "liquidityClob": 9629.03295, "negRisk": false, "commentCount": 0, "markets": [ { "id": "547957", "question": "Spain snap election called in 2025?", "conditionId": "0x90146e4df214d10dc20b7f60ff0ce966bfa09546978a4a4059d06f3cd6ddf577", "slug": "spain-snap-election-called-in-2025", "resolutionSource": "", "endDate": "2025-12-31T12:00:00Z", "startDate": "2025-05-28T18:38:02.886Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]", "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]", "volume": "93498.302024", "active": true, "closed": true, "marketMakerAddress": "", "createdAt": "2025-05-28T17:17:12.888354Z", "updatedAt": "2026-04-28T13:33:33.33929Z", "closedTime": "2026-01-01 10:17:17+00", "new": false, "featured": false, "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5", "archived": false, "resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74", "restricted": true, "groupItemTitle": "December 31, 2025", "groupItemThreshold": "0", "questionID": "0xcdb4dcef247a51f3d1853304a7a11c2b42dffc51ba1056c56d4f49a685ce7fb0", "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T10:17:17Z", "enableOrderBook": true, "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001, "orderMinSize": 5, "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved", "volumeNum": 93498.302024, "endDateIso": "2025-12-31", "startDateIso": "2025-05-28", "hasReviewedDates": true, "volume1wk": 4513.470999999999, "volume1mo": 13695.586521000001, "volume1yr": 93498.30202399998, "clobTokenIds": "[\"6902174611736159145776657108337759402988986526678504248271295670198397738390\", \"10360574034610259365825582633190111659383248210003248977260045000073129477814\"]", "umaBond": "500", "umaReward": "5", "volume1wkClob": 4513.470999999999, "volume1moClob": 13695.586521000001, "volume1yrClob": 93498.30202399998, "volumeClob": 93498.302024, "makerBaseFee": 1000, "takerBaseFee": 1000, "customLiveness": 0, "acceptingOrders": false, "negRisk": false, "negRiskRequestID": "", "ready": false, "funded": false, "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-05-28T18:37:38Z", "cyom": false, "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false, "approved": true, "rewardsMinSize": 200, "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5, "spread": 0.001, "automaticallyResolved": true, "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.007, "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0505, "lastTradePrice": 1, "bestAsk": 0.001, "automaticallyActive": true, "clearBookOnStart": true, "seriesColor": "", "showGmpSeries": false, "showGmpOutcome": false, "manualActivation": false, "negRiskOther": false, "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]", "pendingDeployment": false, "deploying": false, "deployingTimestamp": "2025-05-28T18:36:17.419964Z", "rfqEnabled": false, "holdingRewardsEnabled": false, "feesEnabled": true, "requiresTranslation": false, "feeType": "politics_fees", "feeSchedule": { "exponent": 1, "rate": 0.04, "takerOnly": true, "rebateRate": 0.25 } }, { "id": "644510", "question": "Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?", "conditionId": "0xb935ba8bc67b99825f2d7e4759d5d619f9c2beea0b799cc6f444d48c8cdf6149", "slug": "spain-snap-election-called-by-june-30-2026", "resolutionSource": "", "liquidity": "9635.16184", "startDate": "2025-10-22T15:44:39.980441Z", "image": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg", "icon": "https:\/\/polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\/spain-snap-election-called-in-2025-YPLnfYBaLnXB.jpg", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. 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Recent months saw intensified Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities alongside Ukrainian deep strikes, yet no direct NATO-Russia combat occurred despite hybrid incidents and warnings over weapons supplies. Russia's limited role in the February 2026 Iran conflict\u2014providing intelligence but no troops\u2014highlighted restraint amid US actions elsewhere. Diplomatic channels remain active under the Trump administration, including ceasefire proposals, while NATO focuses on European security guarantees short of direct intervention. 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Hybrid activities, including drone incursions into Latvian airspace and increased sabotage risks across Europe, underscore gray-zone pressure below the Article 5 threshold. NATO has responded by reinforcing its eastern flank with additional multinational battlegroups, while analysts note Russia\u2019s preference for probing operations over large-scale conventional attacks given current force constraints from Ukraine. These developments frame market probabilities around the timing and scope of any direct territorial violation rather than immediate full invasion.", "context_requires_regen": false, "context_updated_at": "2026-06-17T05:00:59.399Z" } }, { "id": "25487", "ticker": "trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025", "slug": "trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025", "title": "Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?", "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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