Polymarket
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X\/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/trade\/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Drake releasing his album Iceman before GTA VI's November 19, 2026 console launch, with market-implied odds surging to 98% following the rapper's official May 15 drop announcement last week\u2014well ahead of Rockstar's schedule and backed by promotional momentum. Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick recently reconfirmed the date during earnings calls, signaling summer marketing rollout including potential Trailer 3, while dismissing further delays after prior postponements from fall 2025 to May then November 2026. Geopolitical and meme outcomes like Bitcoin hitting $1 million or Jesus Christ's return linger near 49-54%, reflecting high uncertainty, but Drake's firm timeline dominates with over $21 million in volume; watch for album rollout hiccups or Rockstar surprises as swing factors.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
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